What’s amatta – you apes wanna live
forever?
You are going to die! As the old saying goes no-one gets out alive
(apologies to Woodrow Smith and Duncan McCloud – please skip to the next
paragraph –all others read on). Every day you take risks just by
existing. Assuming a life expectancy of 80 years and an even probability of
death each day you have a 1/29200 chance of biting the big one TODAY! (this is
VERY loose statistics, I know that – please don’t email to tell me so; its
just an example of the BEST case scenario). As Worf once said in answer
to ‘how do you prove you are mortal’ – "DIE!" Risk is
inherent in everything we do – and so are rewards. Most of you reading
this are likely pilots or you want to be. Each time you fly there are
risks involved. A major part of learning to be a pilot is managing those
risks. Why do you fly – because there is SOME benefit to it; some
reward. Perhaps only you can quantify or qualify that benefit – but it
is there. But the risk and reward connection goes much deeper. It
is not just personal – it is a force of the universe.
Risk/Rewards Yin-Yang
Risk and reward are linked; really they are two aspects of the same thing
– a ying-yang relationship. Although I have not yet developed rigorous
mathematics to prove this – it seems that risk and reward are entropically
correlated. Increased rewards are relatable to more and higher "energy
states being accessible – this accessibility is obtained by putting more
"energy" i.e. risk into the system. [OK
Weeble –that’s it. You’ve had enough – I’m cutting you off the adult
beverages for tonight!!] Ok, Ok - the mathematics isn’t
important right here. Most of us instinctively know this
relationship. Millennia ago our forbearers learned this. The
hunter who risked more by going after the more dangerous game got the better
choices of meat. Likewise the gatherers who climbed the higher cliff or
wadded the deeper swamps got the better fruits and nuts. They also
tended to survive better and breed together and voila – modern
humanity. But what happens when we eliminate the possibility of risk;
when we manage it away. Sometimes this is good but sometimes NOT.
Oh well – enough ramblings about plenty of nothing for now – next time
boys and girls we will learn that statistics make poor armor but excellent
headstones and that "Run in circles scream and shout" is NOT really
risk management.
Weeble Out.